A data-driven 12-month Airbnb revenue projection for your property: monthly ADR, occupancy and revenue, benchmarked against the market. Know what a listing can realistically earn before you buy, rent or reprice.
Whether you are buying, leasing or already hosting, the question is the same: what will this property earn, month by month? The projection answers it with numbers you can take to a bank, a landlord or an owner.
Property investors
Buying a house, apartment or cabin to run on Airbnb? Know what it will earn before you make an offer.
Projected gross revenue to test the purchase price and yield
Realistic occupancy and ADR, not the best month repeated 12 times
A lender-ready report for your mortgage or investor pack
Compare two or three candidate properties side by side
Airbnb arbitrage operators
Renting to re-let as a short-term rental? The monthly projection tells you if the numbers cover the rent in every month, not just in summer.
Monthly revenue against your fixed rent, month by month
Low-season months flagged so the cash gap is visible upfront
Break-even occupancy at the recommended nightly rates
Evidence to show a landlord or agent that the model works
Existing hosts and property managers
Already operating? See what the listing should be earning and where it sits against the market.
Your ADR, occupancy and revenue benchmarked against the market
The months where you leave the most money on the table
Revenue targets and pacing for next year's budget
Owner-ready projections when you pitch a new property to manage
What's included
What your report contains
A comprehensive, property-specific forecast built from real market data, not templates or guesswork.
12-month revenue projection
Month-by-month projected revenue across three scenarios, conservative, realistic and optimistic, so you see the full range of expectations.
Market demand analysis
Real demand data for your specific location, including peak periods, booking lead times and the traveller patterns that shape your revenue.
Seasonality breakdown
Clear month-by-month mapping of high, medium and low seasons so you can plan pricing and availability accordingly.
Competitive benchmarking
A side-by-side comparison of your property against similar Airbnb listings in your area: occupancy, ADR and RevPAR benchmarks.
Projected occupancy rates
Expected occupancy per month based on market data, your property type and local competition, a critical input for revenue planning.
Recommended pricing bands
Suggested nightly rate ranges per season, a data-backed starting point for your own pricing decisions or a PriceLabs setup.
Sample report
Monthly Airbnb revenue projection: property vs market
Every report includes a month-by-month table like this one. It shows projected occupancy, ADR and revenue for your property next to the same figures for comparable listings in your market.
Sample 12-month Airbnb revenue projection for a 2-bedroom apartment compared with its market
Month
Market (comparable listings)
Your property (realistic)
Occupancy
ADR
Revenue
Occupancy
ADR
Revenue
Jan
44%
$142
$1,937
52%
$152
$2,450
Feb
50%
$148
$2,072
58%
$158
$2,566
Mar
58%
$158
$2,841
66%
$169
$3,458
Apr
64%
$172
$3,302
71%
$184
$3,919
May
70%
$188
$4,080
76%
$201
$4,736
Jun
80%
$224
$5,376
85%
$239
$6,095
Jul
86%
$256
$6,825
90%
$272
$7,589
Aug
88%
$262
$7,147
91%
$279
$7,871
Sep
72%
$204
$4,406
78%
$218
$5,101
Oct
62%
$176
$3,383
69%
$188
$4,021
Nov
48%
$150
$2,160
56%
$160
$2,688
Dec
56%
$178
$3,090
63%
$192
$3,750
12 months
65%
$197
$46,619
71%
$208
$54,244
Illustrative example for a 2-bedroom coastal apartment, in US dollars. Your report uses your own market, currency and property. In this example the property is projected at $54,244 a year, 16% above a typical comparable listing ($46,619), with RevPAR of $149 against $128 for the market.
The three numbers behind every projection
Occupancy
The share of available nights that are booked. Projected per month from market demand, your property type and the size of your competitive set.
ADR (average daily rate)
The average price per booked night. We project it per month from what comparable listings actually achieve, not from their asking rates.
Revenue and RevPAR
Monthly revenue is booked nights multiplied by ADR. RevPAR, revenue per available night, is the single number that lets you compare your property with the market.
Methodology
How we build your Airbnb revenue projection
No generic calculator averages. Each projection is built by a revenue manager from the listings your guests actually compare you with.
01
Step 1 of 5
Define the property
Address, bedrooms, bathrooms, sleeping capacity, amenities and, if live, your listing URL and booking history. Arbitrage and pre-purchase projections work from the address alone.
02
Step 2 of 5
Build the competitive set
We select the Airbnb and Vrbo listings that a guest would genuinely compare with yours: same area, same size, similar quality. Outliers and inactive listings are removed.
03
Step 3 of 5
Measure the market month by month
Occupancy, ADR and revenue for the competitive set across the last 12 months and forward bookings, so seasonality, events and lead times come from real data.
04
Step 4 of 5
Project your property
We position your listing within the market on price and quality, then project monthly occupancy, ADR and revenue in conservative, realistic and optimistic scenarios.
05
Step 5 of 5
Deliver and walk you through it
3 to 5 business days
You receive the report with monthly tables, market benchmarks and recommended pricing bands, plus answers to your questions on the numbers.
Everything you need to know about the Airbnb Revenue Projection and Forecast service.
Is this forecast specific to my property or generic?
Completely property-specific. We analyze your exact location, property type, bedroom count and competitive set. Nothing is copy-pasted from templates. Every number in the report reflects your market and your property.
What information do you need from me?
Your property address, listing URL (if already live), number of bedrooms and any specific concerns or goals. No account access is required. We work from publicly available market data and our own research tools.
How accurate are the projections?
Our projections are data-driven and realistic, not inflated to impress. The three-scenario model gives you a range rather than a single number, which is a more honest reflection of how short-term rental revenue actually works. Most clients find their realistic scenario lands within 10 to 15% of actual results.
Can I use this report to get financing or investment approval?
Many clients use this report exactly for that purpose, presenting it to lenders, partners or investors as part of their short-term rental business case. The detailed, data-backed format is designed to be professional and presentable in those contexts.
What does an Airbnb revenue projection include?
A month-by-month projection of occupancy, ADR (average daily rate) and revenue for your property, shown next to the same figures for comparable listings in your market. It covers 12 months in conservative, realistic and optimistic scenarios, with annual totals, RevPAR, seasonality and recommended nightly pricing bands.
Can I get a revenue projection for Airbnb arbitrage?
Yes. For rental arbitrage we project monthly revenue against your fixed rent and costs, flag the low-season months where revenue may not cover the rent, and show the occupancy you need to break even at the recommended rates. Only the address and property details are needed; the listing does not have to exist yet.
Can you project revenue for a property I have not bought yet?
Yes. Pre-purchase projections are one of the most common requests from property investors. We build the projection from the address, size and planned setup of the property, so you can test the purchase price and yield, or compare several candidate properties before making an offer.
I already host on Airbnb. Is a revenue projection still useful?
Yes. For a live listing we benchmark your actual ADR, occupancy and revenue against the market month by month, show where you are underperforming, and set revenue targets for the next 12 months. Property managers also use it to show a prospective owner what a property should earn.
How is this different from free Airbnb revenue calculators?
Free calculators apply market averages to a postcode. Our projection is built by a revenue manager from a hand-picked competitive set that matches your property, removes inactive listings and outliers, and projects each month separately. You get a range with the reasoning behind it, not a single headline number.
Ready to start?
Get your forecast today
Send us your property details and receive a lender-ready, data-backed forecast within 3 to 5 business days.